Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238064           1           5          68          19           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000996110           2          13          63          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.86000e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C3.1
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.00        6.50       67.50       21.25        3.75     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1