Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234173           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000934116           1          22          50          25           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.12000e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       57.0000           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       16.00       63.00       17.00        1.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3