Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231528           3          16          60          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000887484           2          34          51          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   2.47000e-07           4          37          51           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       42.0000           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.50       30.75       53.50       10.75        1.50     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6