Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230932           4          18          58          18           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000861277           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
GOES Xray  =   2.22000e-07           3          41          50           6           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       36.0000           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             5.25       38.75       44.75       10.75        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1