Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228892           2          23          64          10           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000832635           4          46          42           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   1.82000e-07           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             3.75       32.00       53.75       10.00        0.50     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0