Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228257           3          32          57           8           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818657           8          45          39           8           0        B9.1
GOES Xray  =   1.59000e-07          11          59          25           5           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             6.50       40.25       45.50        7.00        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4