Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229325           1          24          60          14           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000833327           4          45          43           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   2.05000e-07           2          45          48           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       18.0000          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                             6.25       43.25       42.75        7.50        0.25     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3