Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227781           3          32          55          10           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000809153          11          44          41           4           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   1.67000e-07          12          56          26           6           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =       9.00000          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            15.75       44.50       34.25        5.50        0.00     B7.1
 
realized                                                                                      B3.4