Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227528           3          31          54          12           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000804419          11          46          38           5           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   1.64000e-07          12          57          25           6           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =       19.0000          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            10.25       48.25       35.00        6.50        0.00     B7.8
 
realized                                                                                      B6.5