Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228846           2          24          64           9           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000823852           8          41          44           7           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   1.96000e-07           5          45          44           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             5.75       41.00       46.50        6.50        0.25     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B3.9