Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228783           2          26          62           9           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000828840           4          47          41           8           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   1.97000e-07           5          46          43           6           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       21.0000          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                             5.75       42.75       44.75        6.50        0.25     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      B6.9