Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236306           2          14          56          24           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000954219           2          15          55          25           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   4.19000e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C3.1
est. ISN   =       58.0000           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             1.75       12.25       64.50       19.00        2.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1