Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236582           2          13          57          22           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000983144           3          14          59          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.66000e-07           1           6          77          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             1.50        9.75       65.25       20.25        3.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5