Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237868           1           6          66          21           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100920           2          12          65          18           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.66000e-07           1           6          77          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       81.0000           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.50        6.25       67.75       20.75        3.75     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2