Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243548           1           0          65          31           3        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109406           4           3          72          20           1        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   5.10000e-07           2           0          65          32           1        C6.0
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.75        2.00       67.00       26.75        2.50     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C6.0