Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247722           1           2          54          36           7        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113273           1           4          63          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   7.03000e-07           1           0          56          35           8        C8.5
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             0.75        4.25       55.75       33.75        5.50     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3