Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246149           1           3          56          38           2        C6.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109725           3           3          71          22           1        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   6.92000e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.5
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             2.00        7.75       61.25       26.00        3.00     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5