Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240101           1           6          64          22           7        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000989791           3          13          60          19           5        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   5.61000e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.3
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             1.75        6.50       66.25       21.25        4.25     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.3