Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243114           1           0          67          28           4        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100710           2          11          67          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   7.49000e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             2.00        6.50       60.75       26.75        4.00     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      M3.0