Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237422           2           9          65          20           4        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000926520           1          19          54          24           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   4.98000e-07           2           1          63          34           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =       56.0000           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.75       12.00       61.00       23.50        1.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1