Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237705           1           7          67          20           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000927714           1          20          52          25           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.52000e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.6
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             0.50       11.25       64.75       20.50        3.00     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0