Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238147           1           5          68          19           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000934375           1          22          50          25           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   5.53000e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.6
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             1.50       12.00       63.25       19.25        4.00     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      M3.8