Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237485           1           7          68          20           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000929607           1          19          53          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.00000e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       49.0000           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             1.25       11.25       63.75       20.50        3.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      M6.5