Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233376           3          16          61          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000863325           6          44          41           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   4.62000e-07           2           1          77          19           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =       29.0000           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             4.50       27.25       54.25       13.25        0.75     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6