Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231222           4          18          59          16           3        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000831741           4          46          42           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   3.19000e-07           4          10          73          13           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =       19.0000          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                             6.75       33.25       49.25       10.00        0.75     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7