Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231190           4          17          60          16           3        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000832221           4          45          43           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   3.02000e-07           3          13          75           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       16.0000          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                             6.75       35.00       48.50        9.00        0.75     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4