Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233676           4          12          63          18           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000871302           3          38          49          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.78000e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       23.0000           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.00       27.50       55.25       12.50        0.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9