Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233872           4          13          63          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000878619           2          40          47          11           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.72000e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =       35.0000           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.25       27.75       54.75       13.50        0.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4