Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232589           2          16          61          19           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000863259           6          44          41           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   3.18000e-07           4          10          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =       32.0000           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             4.00       29.00       53.50       13.00        0.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4