Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232735           2          15          63          18           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000870697           3          38          49          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.10000e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.75       29.00       55.00       11.75        0.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4