Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235168           4          11          58          23           4        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000912779           3          26          49          19           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   3.92000e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =            54           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       14.75       61.00       19.75        2.00     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7