Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235272           4          12          57          23           4        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000921241           2          22          51          22           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.70000e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             2.50       14.00       63.00       18.50        2.00     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5