Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235374           4          13          55          25           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000931995           1          22          51          24           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.48000e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             2.00       11.25       62.00       23.00        1.75     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0