Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235703           3          12          57          25           3        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000952262           2          15          53          27           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.18000e-07           4          10          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            78           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.50       10.50       62.25       22.00        2.75     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      B9.4