Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241726           1           2          65          26           6        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102672           2          15          63          15           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.45000e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.00        6.50       66.25       22.50        3.75     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7