Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239475           1           5          71          18           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102200           3          14          63          16           4        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   3.88000e-07           1           3          78          18           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.50        6.50       69.25       19.50        3.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0