Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237753           1           7          65          21           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000999216           2          13          62          19           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.65000e-07           2           6          75          17           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =            72           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        7.75       64.00       23.25        3.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9