Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238541           2           4          70          18           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103541           2          14          62          15           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   3.60000e-07           2           5          75          18           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =            76           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.75        8.00       66.50       19.75        4.00     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1