Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239957           1           6          68          20           5        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103964           3          12          61          16           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   3.87000e-07           1           4          78          17           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             2.50        9.00       66.50       18.25        3.75     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0