Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238752           2           3          71          18           6        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101826           2          13          66          16           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.79000e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50        9.50       69.50       17.00        2.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      B6.9