Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236002           2          14          56          24           4        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000960343           3          17          55          22           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   3.35000e-07           3           7          75          15           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.75       22.50       54.25       17.75        1.75     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      B6.3