Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234228           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000925402           1          20          52          25           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   3.15000e-07           3          11          75          11           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             3.25       22.25       57.50       15.75        1.25     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2