Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229062           1          25          62          11           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000821037           7          43          42           8           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   2.05000e-07           2          45          48           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             4.00       39.25       48.75        7.50        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8