Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229982           1          22          58          17           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000825261           6          44          41           9           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   2.30000e-07           4          37          50           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             4.50       37.75       46.75       10.50        0.50     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1