Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227864           3          32          56           9           0        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000791093          14          49          32           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   1.90000e-07           6          47          40           7           0        B9.5
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             7.50       44.00       41.50        7.00        0.00     B9.6
 
realized                                                                                      B6.4