Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227151           2          32          52          14           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000767133          14          43          35           8           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   1.67000e-07          12          56          26           6           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =            21          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            10.00       45.75       36.50        7.75        0.00     B8.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)