Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229724           1          21          60          16           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000828605           5          47          40           8           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   2.23000e-07           3          42          50           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             4.00       41.00       45.50        9.00        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1