Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229732           1          21          60          16           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000824632           7          44          41           8           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   2.23000e-07           3          42          50           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             4.50       39.75       45.50        9.75        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      B3.9