Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230269           1          20          59          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000842042           4          53          36           7           0        B8.5
GOES Xray  =   2.28000e-07           4          36          52           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.25       36.00       50.25        9.25        1.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B4.3