Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229424           1          22          61          15           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000835585           4          48          40           8           0        B9.3
GOES Xray  =   2.19000e-07           2          44          48           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.75       34.25       52.75        9.50        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)